As if rain and a potential for snow were not bad enough, tornadoes could also be present with the storming to come. This intense and quite severe weather system is going to be present Friday (10th) and Saturday in several central and eastern areas here in the US.
As of Friday afternoon tornado warnings have been issued for several places including areas in Missouri, Texas, and Oklahoma. While the surrounding states won’t get hit as badly it is also important to note that this severe storming could affect surrounding areas as well. According to NOAA significant risk of severe weather is quite prominent on Friday and Saturday.
A powerful Pacific jet stream slamming into the West Coast will dig far south into the southwestern U.S. and Mexico. This trajectory will form a trough, driving cold air southward through the Rockies, while at the same time, like a see-saw, launching warm and moist air from the Gulf of Mexico northward into the Southeast ahead of a developing storm system.
The warm air will surge as far north as New England, with temperatures in the eastern half of the U.S. catapulting 30 to 40 degrees above normal this weekend. More than 300 record warm temperatures for the date could be in jeopardy.
This collision between cold and warm air, combined with strong, spinning winds, will come together Friday afternoon in Texas and southern Oklahoma for what appears to be a particularly substantial severe weather outbreak.
The threat for severe thunderstorms will begin Friday afternoon in a large area stretching from Oklahoma City south to Dallas-Fort Worth and Austin, Texas. The threat is for both a solid squall line of thunderstorms near the developing front with embedded rotations, possibly spawning tornadoes, and also discreet rotating supercell thunderstorms out ahead of the mainline in eastern Texas.
As the event unfolds, it appears east Texas and Louisiana will be vulnerable to the most threatening weather Friday afternoon and evening. This is where the best chance for strong tornadoes exists — some of them with the potential to be on the ground for an extended period of time. But the whole area outlined by the Storm Prediction Center may produce isolated tornadoes, large hail, and damaging wind gusts.
Friday night the line will move eastward from Texas and Oklahoma into Louisiana and Arkansas, impacting cities such as Houston, Lufkin, Texarkana, Shreveport and Little Rock. As it does so, a strong low-level jet stream of up to 100 mph will maximize. As this happens, the main threat from the storm system will transition from tornadoes early in the night to a greater proportion of straight-line wind damage by morning.
It should be noted that this time of year, severe weather and large tornadoes are most common in this specific region. Tornadoes in this region often occur at night when people are less prepared, and as a result, are twice as likely to be deadly.
From here the storm system itself will be moving more towards Tennessee and other areas in that direction. By the time Saturday afternoon rolls around it will have made an appearance through Tennesse, Mississippi, Louisiana and Alabama. While these storms won’t last for a long period, they will be quite powerful and dangerous.
An amplified weather pattern will produce several notable weather stories over the next 5-7 days. First, the total precipitation over the next seven days shows a very wet stretch in the Northwest and across much of the eastern U.S. pic.twitter.com/oiajKiZ8CI
— NWS WPC (@NWSWPC) January 8, 2020
Whether you end up facing flooding, snow, high winds, or tornadoes these storms are not going to be pleasant for anyone. In the most affected areas, we should be preparing for the potential for power outages and other things of the sort. By the time Sunday rolls around this should, for the most part, be over with as it moves towards New England and provides them with plenty of ice and snow. That having been said, we do not know how much damage will come between now and then.
For more information on all of this please check out the video below. What do you think about all of this? Are you prepared for what could be to come?
Featured Image Credit: NOAA/WPC